Markets
What traders are pricing on the world's open questions. A price is the market's implied probability, not a forecast of ours, and it is not news: it is shown beside the news, never inside it. We carry no betting links.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket · offshore, closed to new bets in the UK, US and much of the EU · last price 10 Nov, 22:30
| Outcome | Now | 7d | 30d | First seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | 17% | — | — | 17% on 2026-11-10 |
| Jon Ossoff | 17% | — | — | 17% on 2026-11-10 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 11% | — | — | 11% on 2026-11-10 |
| Marco Rubio | 9% | — | — | 9% on 2026-11-10 |
| Gavin Newsom | 8% | — | — | 8% on 2026-11-10 |
Next French Presidential Election
Polymarket · offshore, closed to new bets in the UK, US and much of the EU · last price 10 Nov, 22:30
| Outcome | Now | 7d | 30d | First seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 45% | — | — | 45% on 2026-11-10 |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 14% | — | — | 14% on 2026-11-10 |
| David Lisnard | 13% | — | — | 13% on 2026-11-10 |
| Édouard Philippe | 9% | — | — | 9% on 2026-11-10 |
| Christine Lagarde | 6% | — | — | 6% on 2026-11-10 |
Netanyahu out by...?
Polymarket · offshore, closed to new bets in the UK, US and much of the EU · last price 10 Nov, 22:30
| Outcome | Now | 7d | 30d | First seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 69% | — | — | 69% on 2026-11-10 |
| March 31, 2027 | 61% | — | — | 61% on 2026-11-10 |
| December 31 | 49% | — | — | 49% on 2026-11-10 |
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Polymarket · offshore, closed to new bets in the UK, US and much of the EU · last price 10 Nov, 22:30
| Outcome | Now | 7d | 30d | First seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Maduro | 92% | — | — | 92% on 2026-11-10 |
| Delcy Rodríguez | 8% | — | — | 8% on 2026-11-10 |
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Polymarket · offshore, closed to new bets in the UK, US and much of the EU · last price 10 Nov, 22:30
| Outcome | Now | 7d | 30d | First seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 9% | — | — | 9% on 2026-11-10 |
| March 31, 2027 | 5% | — | — | 5% on 2026-11-10 |
| December 31, 2026 | 2% | — | — | 2% on 2026-11-10 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Polymarket · offshore, closed to new bets in the UK, US and much of the EU · last price 10 Nov, 22:30
| Outcome | Now | 7d | 30d | First seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92% | — | — | 92% on 2026-11-10 |
| Yes | 9% | — | — | 9% on 2026-11-10 |
Prices are read from Polymarket's public API every 30 minutes. The 7-day and 30-day columns compare the day's last price with ours from that far back, and stay blank until we have held the market that long. The pipeline picks six markets, at most two per region, by trading volume; a market leaves when it settles.
Polymarket's own geoblock list names the United Kingdom, the United States, France, Germany and Russia, among others, as close-only: users there cannot open new positions. Read at Polymarket's geoblock list on 2026-11-10.